{"id":883596,"date":"2026-01-09T05:14:31","date_gmt":"2026-01-09T11:14:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2026\/01\/09\/trumps-political-revolution-makes-america-the-worlds-biggest-risk-eurasia-groups-ian-bremmer\/"},"modified":"2026-01-09T05:14:31","modified_gmt":"2026-01-09T11:14:31","slug":"trumps-political-revolution-makes-america-the-worlds-biggest-risk-eurasia-groups-ian-bremmer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2026\/01\/09\/trumps-political-revolution-makes-america-the-worlds-biggest-risk-eurasia-groups-ian-bremmer\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s political revolution makes America the world\u2019s biggest risk: Eurasia Group\u2019s Ian Bremmer"},"content":{"rendered":"

Home<\/a><\/span>World News<\/a><\/span>Trump\u2019s political revolution makes America the world\u2019s biggest risk: Eurasia Group\u2019s Ian Bremmer<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Ian Bremmer warns that Washington\u2019s growing policy volatility \u2014 from aggressive tariff use to institutional strain \u2014 is becoming a systemic risk for global markets, with courts, alliances and supply chains increasingly caught in the crossfire as investors brace for prolonged uncertainty in 2026.<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n
\n

\"CNBCTV18\"<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

2026 is shaping up to be a defining year for the global order, and according to Eurasia Group President Ian Bremmer, the single biggest risk is not China, Russia or artificial intelligence \u2014 but the United States itself.<\/p>\n

\nIn an interview to CNBC-TV18, Bremmer warned that President Donald Trump\u2019s ongoing \u201cpolitical revolution\u201d is injecting deep uncertainty into global markets, alliances and trade, even as Washington simultaneously sharpens its use of tariffs and sanctions as instruments of economic coercion. For countries like India, the implications are no longer abstract. They are immediate, measurable and potentially costly.<\/p>\n

America as the biggest global risk<\/strong><\/p>\n

\nEurasia Group\u2019s Top Risks 2026 report flags the US as the most consequential risk factor because Trump is actively trying to weaken institutional checks, politicise the state and redefine how power is exercised. While this consolidation has delivered short-term wins for Washington \u2014 from trade negotiations to energy geopolitics \u2014 Bremmer argues the longer-term consequences are destabilising.<\/p>\n

\n\u201cA more unpredictable Washington weakens alliances, unsettles markets and accelerates a fragmented and conflict-prone world,\u201d he said, adding that US policy volatility itself is now a systemic risk for the global economy.<\/p>\n

Why Bremmer believes Trump will ultimately fail<\/strong><\/p>\n

\nDespite the aggressive push, Bremmer does not believe Trump\u2019s political revolution will succeed. He outlined three reasons.<\/p>\n

\nFirst, Trump\u2019s limited popularity. Bremmer expects Republicans to lose the House in the midterm elections, increasing the likelihood that Trump is viewed as a lame duck, weakening his grip over his own party.<\/p>\n

\nSecond, institutional resistance remains real. Courts have already moved to constrain executive power, including rulings limiting trade authorities and overturning attempts to deploy federal forces domestically. The judiciary, federal structure, and professional military remain key guardrails.<\/p>\n

\nThird \u2014 and most crucially \u2014 Trump\u2019s lack of discipline. Bremmer argued that successful political revolutions require singular focus. \u201cIf you want to destroy your principal enemy, you focus on that,\u201d he said. Instead, Trump\u2019s attention is scattered across issues like Greenland, Venezuela and trade theatrics, undermining strategic execution.<\/p>\n

Also Read | US pulls out of WHO, UNESCO and more: Key global bodies America is exiting and what it means<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Tariff wars are not over \u2014 but courts may intervene<\/strong><\/p>\n

\nTrade remains the most immediate transmission channel of US political risk to global markets. Trump\u2019s use of tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) is likely to face judicial scrutiny.<\/p>\n

\nBremmer said the law was never designed to be used against \u201c90-plus countries for political purposes\u201d in the absence of a genuine national emergency. While he stopped short of predicting how the Supreme Court will rule, he expects the judiciary to constrain \u2014 though not fully dismantle \u2014 Trump\u2019s tariff powers.<\/p>\n

\nFor markets, this creates a dangerous grey zone: tariffs may persist in the near term, but with rising legal uncertainty that complicates investment and supply chain decisions.<\/p>\n

Also Read | Here are US President Trump’s options if the Supreme Court says his tariffs are illegal<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Watch accompanying video for entire discussion.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Read More<\/a>
\n Swapnil Deshpande<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Home World News Trump\u2019s political revolution makes America the world\u2019s biggest risk: Eurasia Group\u2019s Ian Bremmer Ian Bremmer warns that Washington\u2019s growing policy volatility \u2014 from aggressive tariff use to institutional strain \u2014 is becoming a systemic risk for global markets, with courts, alliances and supply chains increasingly caught in the crossfire as investors brace<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":883597,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[188,163],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-883596","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-political","8":"category-trumps"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/883596","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=883596"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/883596\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/883597"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=883596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=883596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=883596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}