{"id":875087,"date":"2025-09-27T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-27T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/27\/u-s-government-shutdown-on-october-1-will-crash-xrp-bitcoin-crypto\/"},"modified":"2025-09-27T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-27T05:00:00","slug":"u-s-government-shutdown-on-october-1-will-crash-xrp-bitcoin-crypto","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/27\/u-s-government-shutdown-on-october-1-will-crash-xrp-bitcoin-crypto\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. government shutdown on October 1 will crash XRP, Bitcoin & crypto?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\"Crypto\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n

\"Avatar\"<\/p>\n

Journalist<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

\n

Posted:

<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

\n

Key Takeaways<\/span><\/h2>\n

Will the shutdown affect crypto?\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/h3>\n

Yes, especially altcoins could be affected more than BTC.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

What\u2019s the market outlook for Q4?<\/span><\/em><\/h3>\n

Short-term caution could extend into early Q4, but in the mid-term, traders were positive.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

The markets have priced in a likely U.S. government shutdown by the 1st of October. <\/span>Bitcoin [BTC]<\/span><\/a> and the rest of the crypto markets, alongside U.S. equities, printed weekly lows on the 25th of September.<\/span><\/p>\n

Interestingly, the chance of such a shutdown (Congress\u2019s failure to set funding plans for government operations) <\/span>increased<\/span><\/a> by 10% to 70%.<\/span><\/p>\n

A Forbes <\/span>report<\/span><\/a> said it could extend for a week if Congress doesn\u2019t act quickly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

If the projection proves accurate, it could worsen market sentiment and pull BTC, XRP, and other major assets further down the charts.<\/span><\/p>\n

But how are traders positioning themselves for next week and the rest of Q4?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Assessing Options market insights<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Bitcoin\u2019s 25-Delta Skew (call-put) dropped<\/a> by 8% for 1-week (blue) and 1-month (purple) tenors.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

This meant increased short-term hedging, or a greater demand for put options (bearish bets) over calls (bullish bets). In other words, there was a bit of caution in the near term as we head into Q4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: BTC 25-Delta Skew (Velo)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

But the 25 Delta Skew for the 3-month tenor was flat near 8% and didn\u2019t react explosively to the current macro uncertainty.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Put differently, Options traders had a positive outlook (more demand for calls, bullish bets) for the market in the mid-term (broader Q4)<\/span><\/p>\n

For XRP, however, the market sentiment was neutral to negative across all tenors. This could be a warning sign for altcoin traders, especially if BTC dominance climbs higher into Q4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"Government<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: Laevitas<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

As of press time, BTC dominance has recovered about 4% towards 60% and could stall altcoin momentum if the trend continues.<\/span><\/p>\n

Besides, it remains to be seen whether the much-awaited altcoin ETF approvals in October will be a \u2018sell-the-news\u2019 event.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

That being said, BTC was in a great position despite the current pullback. The apparent demand, which tracks appetite from ETF and crypto treasuries, surged in September and appeared stagnant, but did not drop.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"government<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: CryptoQuant<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

If the demand picks pace in Q4, it could spark a strong <\/span>recovery<\/span><\/a>. But any decrease in institutional demand, like seen in Q1 (red bars), could drag BTC lower on the price charts.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Overall, there was short-term caution across BTC and altcoins. However, the outlook was more positive for BTC than altcoins in the mid-term. Meanwhile, BTC was valued at $109K while XRP traded at $2.7 at the time of writing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Read More<\/a>
\n Benjamin Njiri<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Journalist Posted: September 27, 2025 Key Takeaways Will the shutdown affect crypto?\u00a0 Yes, especially altcoins could be affected more than BTC.\u00a0 What\u2019s the market outlook for Q4? Short-term caution could extend into early Q4, but in the mid-term, traders were positive.\u00a0\u00a0 The markets have priced in a likely U.S. government shutdown by the 1st of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":875088,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22791,534,284,33828],"tags":[8831],"class_list":{"0":"post-875087","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-crypto","8":"category-financial","9":"category-government","10":"category-shutdown","11":"tag-crypto"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/875087","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=875087"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/875087\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/875088"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=875087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=875087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=875087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}