{"id":867835,"date":"2025-08-25T00:12:36","date_gmt":"2025-08-25T05:12:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/25\/bitcoin-price-trending-back-but-new-highs-before-july-unlikely-analysis\/"},"modified":"2025-08-25T00:12:36","modified_gmt":"2025-08-25T05:12:36","slug":"bitcoin-price-trending-back-but-new-highs-before-july-unlikely-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/25\/bitcoin-price-trending-back-but-new-highs-before-july-unlikely-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin price &#039;trending back&#039; but new highs before July unlikely: Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoins <\/p>\n<div data-v-43e640e6>\n<p><strong>Key takeaways:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>Bitcoin price trades 6% below all-time highs, but several market signals suggest more upside ahead.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Bitcoin is poised for a breakout to all-time highs if a key resistance level at $108,000 is broken.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bitcoin (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" title=\"null\">BTC<\/a>) price has rebounded 10% since June 5, reaching near-all-time highs at $110,800 on June 9. Meanwhile, analysts say declining open interest and \u201cliquidation exhaustion\u201d suggest that BTC price is primed for the next move.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoins Is OI divergence bullish for Bitcoin price?<\/h2>\n<p>Onchain data reveals a notable divergence between Bitcoin\u2019s price and Binance <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/explained\/what-is-open-interest-in-the-crypto-futures-market\" title=\"null\">open interest<\/a> (OI), showing progressive deleveraging across the derivatives market.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>While Bitcoin price came within 1.3% of its all-time high on May 27, Binance OI failed to reach its previous peak in late May, according to data from CryptoQuant. Instead, a distinct divergence has emerged with this metric recording a series of lower lows, as shown in the chart below.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"bitcoins\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-06\/01978dd3-8eda-79f2-b39d-20e561ff067b\" title><figcaption><em>Bitcoin price and Binance OI 24-hour change. Source: CryptoQuant<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Similarly, the Binance Liquidation Delta chart highlights a sharp liquidation cluster around $104,000, where long positions were forcefully closed when the <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-declines-israel-airstrikes-iran\" title=\"null\">price dipped below this level<\/a> on June 13.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-predictions-new-highs-100k-retrace-crypto-analyst-poll\" rel=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-predictions-new-highs-100k-retrace-crypto-analyst-poll\" target=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-predictions-new-highs-100k-retrace-crypto-analyst-poll\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-predictions-new-highs-100k-retrace-crypto-analyst-poll\"><em><strong>Bitcoiners split on $94K or $114K for BTC\u2019s next move as it trades sideways<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/why-is-the-crypto-market-down-today\" title=\"null\">market correction<\/a>, triggered by Israel\u2019s attack on Iran, saw over $453 billion in long Bitcoin liquidated against $59.8 million short positions.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"bitcoins\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-06\/01978dd3-94aa-7ff8-bead-78e4140ec83f\" title><figcaption><em>Bitcoin: Binance liquidation data. Source: CryptoQuant<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>According to CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, this reflects \u201ccleansing of latecomers chasing the rally,\u201d which coincides with the Fed\u2019s decision to leave interest rates unchanged.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis macroeconomic signal often acts as a tailwind for risk-on assets like Bitcoin,\u201d Amr Taha <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/6853bf21d8b1996d30fb4c24-Divergence-Alert-Binance-Open-Interest-vs-Bitcoin-Price-Whats-Next-After-the-Fed\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">said<\/a> in a June 19 QuickTake, adding:\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u2018Historically, BTC has shown bullish tendencies following rate stabilization, especially when paired with signs of liquidation exhaustion and fading open interest.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Another significant observation is the position of Bitcoin\u2019s market value realized value (MVRV) around its mean.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Bitcoin Short-Term Holder MVRV has returned to the mean despite price nearing all-time highs,\u201d <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/OnChainCollege\/status\/1936026592813166708\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">said<\/a> Bitcoin analyst On-Chain College in a June 20 post on X, adding:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThe market has reset and looks primed for the next move.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"bitcoins\" alt src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-06\/01978dd4-876f-771b-8bdf-853595d0f89f\" title><figcaption><em>Bitcoin: Short-term holder MVRV ratio. Source: <\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/OnChainCollege\/status\/1936026592813166708\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\"><em>Checkonchain<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Bitcoins What next Bitcoin price?<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin price remained range-bound on Thursday below $105,000, per data from <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/subscription.cointelegraph.com\/?_gl=1*7499wx*_ga*MTQ0MzQ0NzI4Ny4xNzE2MzY1NTA0*_ga_53R24TEEB1*MTcxNjM2NTUwNC4xLjEuMTcxNjM2Njg2MC4wLjAuMA..\" title=\"null\">Cointelegraph Markets Pro<\/a> and <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSD\/?exchange=BINANCE\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">TradingView<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBitcoin trending back upward, which is a great sign,\u201d said MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe in a June 20 post on X.<\/p>\n<p>An accompanying chart showed a key resistance zone at $108,000, which BTC bulls needed to break to trigger an upward movement.<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cFacing the crucial resistance zone, through which we&#8217;re about to hit a new all-time high once we break through this resistance zone.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"bitcoins\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-06\/01978dd3-9d10-71f0-a0d2-7b29e87b0d69\" title><figcaption><em>BTC\/USD four-hour chart. Source: <\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/1935972958280777783\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\"><em>Michael van de Poppe<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>As Cointelegraph <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/here-s-when-bitcoin-analysts-see-new-btc-price-volatility\" title=\"null\">reported<\/a>, BTC price is expected to exit its narrow range between $103,000 and $109,00 this month in a move that would usher it into price discovery.<\/p>\n<p>Although several analysts believe <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-volume-metric-suggests-130k-135k-btc-will-happen-in-the-summer\" title=\"null\">Bitcoin will go above $120,000 this summer<\/a>, the odds of this happening before July stand at only 16%, according to <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/bitcoin-all-time-high-before-july?tid=1750418603549\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">Polymarket data<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p type>This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\" data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\" label=\"Subscription Form: Markets Outlook\"><\/template><\/div>\n<p> Cointelegraph by Nancy Lubale <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-trending-back-new-highs-before-july-analysis?utm_source=rss_feed&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound\" class=\"button purchase\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key takeaways: Bitcoin price trades 6% below all-time highs, but several market signals suggest more upside ahead. Bitcoin is poised for a breakout to all-time highs if a key resistance level at $108,000 is broken. Bitcoin (BTC) price has rebounded 10% since June 5, reaching near-all-time highs at $110,800 on June 9. Meanwhile, analysts say<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":867836,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4041,4759],"tags":[11476],"class_list":["post-867835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","category-price","tag-bitcoins"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/867835","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=867835"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/867835\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/867836"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=867835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=867835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=867835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}