{"id":864645,"date":"2025-07-24T03:22:50","date_gmt":"2025-07-24T08:22:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/24\/zohran-mamdanis-chances-of-beating-cuomo-adams-in-nyc-race-poll\/"},"modified":"2025-07-24T03:22:50","modified_gmt":"2025-07-24T08:22:50","slug":"zohran-mamdanis-chances-of-beating-cuomo-adams-in-nyc-race-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/24\/zohran-mamdanis-chances-of-beating-cuomo-adams-in-nyc-race-poll\/","title":{"rendered":"Zohran Mamdani&#8217;s Chances of Beating Cuomo, Adams in NYC Race: Poll"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Democratic mayoral primary winner and state Assemblyman <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/topic\/zohran-mamdani\" data-sys=\"1\">Zohran Mamdani<\/a> is leading the pack of candidates to potentially govern New York City, a new poll this month shows.<\/p>\n<p><em>Newsweek<\/em> reached out to several political analysts via email for comment after publication Thursday.<\/p>\n<h2>Why It Matters<\/h2>\n<p>The outcome of New York City&#8217;s mayoral race is nationally significant as the city remains a major liberal stronghold in the United States. The next mayor will oversee critical issues such as housing, cost-of-living, and public safety, and could shape national debates ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.<\/p>\n<p>The race also marks a test of competing party visions, with Mamdani&#8217;s progressive platform facing centrist and independent challenges from Adams and Cuomo. For Cuomo, a former governor who resigned in 2021 amid sexual harassment allegations, it represents a potential political comeback, while Adams seeks redemption following controversy over corruption charges that were later dropped.<\/p>\n<p>The contest&#8217;s dynamics may ultimately help define the trajectory of Democratic Party politics in America&#8217;s largest city.<\/p>\n<h2>What To Know<\/h2>\n<p>According to a poll from American Pulse conducted from June 28 to July 1, 2025, Mamdani has 35.2 percent support among New York City likely voters, compared to Cuomo&#8217;s 29 percent and Adams&#8217; 13.8 percent.<\/p>\n<p>The likely voters were asked to pick a candidate from a list with the following options: Mamdani, Cuomo, Adams, Guardian Angels founder and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/topic\/republican\" data-sys=\"1\">Republican<\/a> Curtis Sliwa, independent Jim Walden, another candidate or not sure. The survey has a margin of error of 4 percent and polled 568 people.<\/p>\n<p>Mamdani garnered the largest percentage of likely voters from 18 to 44 years old, with 49.7 percent. Cuomo&#8217;s largest percentage came from the Bronx borough with 44.4 percent, while Adams saw his largest backing from Independents and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/topic\/republicans\" data-sys=\"1\">Republicans<\/a> with 23.8 percent alike.<\/p>\n<p>When asked how likely they were to vote for Mamdani, 48 percent either said definitely or probably, the poll shows. Nearly 46 percent said anyone else.<\/p>\n<p>Cuomo received the highest percentage among the likely New Your City voters when asked who would do the best job running the city, with 33.5 percent compared to Mamdani&#8217;s 32.5 percent. Adams received 12.4 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Mamdani has built his campaign around affordability in the Big Apple and focused on rent freezes. His platform also includes no-cost child care, free buses, city-owned grocery stores and &#8220;Trump-proofing&#8221; the city.<\/p>\n<p>The democratic socialist&#8217;s platform could alienate centrist Democrats and independents critical in pushing him past the finish line in November. Mamdani&#8217;s call to implement the Department of Community Safety, if elected, would also place outreach workers in subway stations, a stark difference from Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul&#8217;s position of partnering with the New York City Police Department to ensure safety.<\/p>\n<p>Mamdani has been backed by Democratic Congresswoman <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/topic\/alexandria-ocasio-cortez\" data-sys=\"1\">Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez<\/a> of New York and independent Senator <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/topic\/bernie-sanders\" data-sys=\"1\">Bernie Sanders<\/a> of Vermont. He has yet to receive<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/kathy-hochul-sidestep-endorsing-zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-2091364\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> formal endorsements from Hochul<\/a> or other New York Democratic leaders like Senator Chuck Schumer or Congressman <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/topic\/hakeem-jeffries\" data-sys=\"1\">Hakeem Jeffries<\/a>, despite winning the ticket last week.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/zohran-mamdani-vulnerable-general-election-nate-silver-2093935\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nate Silver also predicted<\/a> on his Silver Bulletin Substack page that Mamdani could possibly be vulnerable in the general election, as more voters will cast their ballots compared to the primary.<\/p>\n<figure>\n<div>\n<picture width=\"1200\" height=\"800\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" media=\"(min-width: 992px)\" ><source type=\"image\/jpeg\" media=\"(min-width: 992px)\" ><source type=\"image\/webp\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" ><source type=\"image\/jpeg\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\" ><source type=\"image\/webp\" media=\"(min-width: 481px)\" ><source type=\"image\/jpeg\" media=\"(min-width: 481px)\" ><source type=\"image\/webp\" media=\"(min-width: 0px)\" ><source type=\"image\/jpeg\" media=\"(min-width: 0px)\" ><source type=\"image\/webp\" ><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" id=\"i2676820\" src=\"https:\/\/d.newsweek.com\/en\/full\/2676820\/zohran-mamdani.jpg?w=1200&#038;f=4d50788d301a070700f9a6e40eba5a20\" alt=\"Zohran Mamdani\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\"><\/picture><\/div><figcaption>\n<span id=\"short-cap-description\">New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani can be seen attending the 2025 New York City Pride March on June 29 in Manhattan. (Photo by Rob Kim\/Getty Images)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>What People Are Saying<\/h2>\n<p><strong>President Donald Trump, a New York native, on Truth Social last week:<\/strong> &#8220;It&#8217;s finally happened, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/topic\/democrats\">Democrats<\/a> have crossed the line. Zohran Mamdani, a 100% Communist Lunatic, has just won the Dem Primary, and is on his way to becoming Mayor.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He continued: &#8220;We&#8217;ve had Radical Lefties before, but this is getting a little ridiculous. He looks TERRIBLE, his voice is grating, he&#8217;s not very smart, he&#8217;s got AOC+3, Dummies ALL, backing him, and even our Great Palestinian Senator, Cryin&#8217; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/topic\/chuck-schumer\">Chuck Schumer<\/a>, is groveling over him. Yes, this is a big moment in the History of our Country!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Mamdani on X, formerly Twitter, on Wednesday:<\/strong> &#8220;Donald Trump is attacking me because he is desperate to distract from his war on working people. We must and we will fight back.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Jeffries posted to X on Wednesday:<\/strong> &#8220;Stop lying about Assemblyman Mamdani. He is neither a communist nor a lunatic. And New York City doesn&#8217;t need to be saved by a wannabe King. Besides, you are too busy destroying America with your One Big Ugly Bill to do anything else.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2>What Happens Next<\/h2>\n<p>New York City voters will return to the polls on November 4 to decide the city&#8217;s next mayor. The outcome of this race will determine the city&#8217;s trajectory on pressing issues, including housing, public safety and affordability.<\/p>\n<p>As Adams and Cuomo campaign as independents, the contest is expected to draw national attention and shape the political landscape for upcoming elections.<\/p>\n<p><em>Update 7\/3\/25, 11:13 p.m.: A previous version of this article said Newsweek reached out to a political analyst for comment. Attempts to contact several experts began after 9:50 p.m.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> Anna Commander<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/zohran-mamdani-chances-beating-cuomo-adams-nyc-race-poll-2094517\" class=\"button purchase\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Democratic mayoral primary winner and state Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani is leading the pack of candidates to potentially govern New York City, a new poll this month shows. Newsweek reached out to several political analysts via email for comment after publication Thursday. Why It Matters The outcome of New York City&#8217;s mayoral race is nationally significant<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":864646,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[145496,145495],"tags":[145494,145493],"class_list":{"0":"post-864645","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mamdanis","8":"category-zohran","9":"tag-mamdanis","10":"tag-zohran"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/864645","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=864645"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/864645\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/864646"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=864645"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=864645"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=864645"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}