{"id":858506,"date":"2025-06-27T19:13:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-28T00:13:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/27\/is-bitcoins-price-breaking-out-again-analyzing-this-metric-may-be-key\/"},"modified":"2025-06-27T19:13:12","modified_gmt":"2025-06-28T00:13:12","slug":"is-bitcoins-price-breaking-out-again-analyzing-this-metric-may-be-key","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/27\/is-bitcoins-price-breaking-out-again-analyzing-this-metric-may-be-key\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Bitcoin\u2019s price breaking out again? Analyzing THIS metric may be key!"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"single-post-wrapper\">\n<p><img width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Gladys-7-1200x675.webp\" alt=\"Is Bitcoin's price breaking out again? Here's what this metric says!\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\"  >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-del=\"avatar\" alt=\"Avatar\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/at-02.05.08-e1718428356778-80x80.jpeg\" height=\"48\" width=\"48\"><\/p>\n<p>Journalist<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div>\n<h4>Share this article<\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li><em>Bitcoin bounced to $104.9k after retesting $100k, keeping the price range-bound amid low momentum<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Without a clear upside catalyst, BTC may remain stuck between $104k and $107k<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>After retesting the $100k-level, <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a> bounced strongly to $104.9k, returning within the long consolidation zone.<\/p>\n<p>With BTC touching these levels again, it means all long-term holders (LTHs) returned in profit.\u00a0 Often, when holders and investors are in profit, they tend to sell and realize their gains.<\/p>\n<p>This is what\u2019s currently happening among Bitcoin LTHs.<\/p>\n<h2>LTHs start selling as profits return<\/h2>\n<div id=\"attachment_499185\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/WOC-price-model-Bitcoin.jpg\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-499185\" alt width=\"900\" height=\"506\"   data-old-src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20900%20506'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/WOC-price-model-Bitcoin.jpg 900w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/WOC-price-model-Bitcoin-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/WOC-price-model-Bitcoin-768x432.jpg 768w\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/WOC-price-model-Bitcoin.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-499185\">Source: Glassnode<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>According to Glassnode <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/glassnode\/status\/1930972957528183071\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">data<\/a>, LTHs have resumed selling, albeit at a moderate pace.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, the HODLer Net Position Change remained negative at -14.2K BTC, indicating net outflows from long-term addresses.<\/p>\n<p>This means that long-term holders are selling more than they are acquiring. Here, the movement of older coins is understandably concerning, especially since the market currently lacks a strong upside catalyst.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_499183\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-2.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-499183\" alt width=\"1280\" height=\"585\"   data-old-src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%201280%20585'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-2.png 1280w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-2-300x137.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-2-1024x468.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-2-768x351.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-2-1200x548.png 1200w\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-2.png\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-499183\">Source: CheckOnChain<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Momentum stalls as market lacks incentive<\/h2>\n<p>As it stands, investors currently lack the motivation to chase higher Bitcoin (BTC) prices, raising the risk of a short-term correction.<\/p>\n<p>This risk is increasing due to a lack of momentum buyers and external factors to attract new capital.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_499186\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-volatility-30D-scaled.jpg\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-499186\" alt width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\"   data-old-src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%202560%201440'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-volatility-30D-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-volatility-30D-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-volatility-30D-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-volatility-30D-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-volatility-30D-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-volatility-30D-2048x1152.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-volatility-30D-1200x675.jpg 1200w\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-volatility-30D-scaled.jpg\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-499186\">Source: Axel Adler\/CryptoQuant<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>We can see this lack of market catalyst as the 30-Day Volatility <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1931001116386304434\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">dropped<\/a> below 1. At this value, volatility is very low. It also means that the market is compressed.<\/p>\n<p>A drop below 1 for this metric indicates that investors are waiting for a catalyst with thin liquidity. That\u2019s why Bitcoin\u2019s price has remained range-bound lately.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, a period of low volatility precedes a major price breakout either to the upside or downside. The longer the compression, the bigger the eventual move to either side.<\/p>\n<h2>Are we entering early BTC distribution?<\/h2>\n<p>Finally, although spending by LTHs is currently moderate, the prevailing conditions may be a sign of early stages of distribution. Especially with the Long-Term Holder Binary Coin-Days Destroyed Z-Score having climbed above 5.<\/p>\n<p>If the trend persists, while there\u2019s no catalyst for a breakout to the upside, a market correction could occur.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_499187\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-3.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-499187\" alt width=\"1280\" height=\"585\"   data-old-src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%201280%20585'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-3.png 1280w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-3-300x137.png 300w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-3-1024x468.png 1024w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-3-768x351.png 768w, https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-3-1200x548.png 1200w\" src=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/newplot-3.png\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-499187\">Source: CheckOnChain<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>If BTC fails to hold $100,413 support, the next logical level would sit near $97k.<\/p>\n<p>Now, LTH spending has remained moderate. Meanwhile, short-term holders (STHs) have shown little inclination to sell. Especially with BTC still below $107k \u2013 An area that would typically spark broader participation.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, amid low volatility and moderate spending by LTHs, the most plausible outcome will be that BTC will trade sideways between $104k and $107k.<\/p>\n<div>\n<h4>Share<\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> Gladys Makena<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/is-bitcoins-price-breaking-out-again-analyzing-this-metric-may-be-key\/\" class=\"button purchase\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Journalist Share this article Bitcoin bounced to $104.9k after retesting $100k, keeping the price range-bound amid low momentum Without a clear upside catalyst, BTC may remain stuck between $104k and $107k After retesting the $100k-level, Bitcoin [BTC] bounced strongly to $104.9k, returning within the long consolidation zone. With BTC touching these levels again, it means<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":858507,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[27753,4759],"tags":[11476,5322],"class_list":{"0":"post-858506","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoins","8":"category-price","9":"tag-bitcoins","10":"tag-price"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/858506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=858506"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/858506\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/858507"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=858506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=858506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=858506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}