It\u2019s time for the The eyes of the footballing world will be on the Allianz Arena Both have been Champions League runners-up in the last five Many were hoping for a thrill-a-minute clash between PSG and PSG have arguably been Europe\u2019s best performers this season. Of teams in Europe\u2019s top five leagues, only Barcelona (174) have PSG top the charts for shots (1,074), shots on target (450) and Luis Enrique won the Champions League with Barcelona in 2015, Indeed, that success with Bar\u00e7a a decade ago came as part of a A good omen for PSG? When their Spanish coach won the treble 10 This season has seen PSG both win their most games (10) and They have also registered their most shots per game (18.6) in a But as they proved in their thrilling semi-final victory over Simone Inzaghi might have let the shackles off in those two legs Integral to their defensive solidity has been the performances Based on the quality of shots on target faced (using Sommer leads the way in the Champions League this season of Their goalkeeper\u2019s reliability has certainly been a crucial Ahead of Sommer, veteran campaigner Francesco Acerbi \u2013 who scored Inter\u2019s crucial late equaliser in the Then there is flying wing-back Denzel Experience has been key for Inzaghi. Only Atl\u00e9tico Madrid It has certainly worked for the Serie A<\/a> side. Not that it has been all about gritty defending and grinding out Inter have scored 26 Champions League goals this season; their They have scored two or more goals in all six knockout games and Two of Europe\u2019s in-form forwards will be vying to steal the It has been an incredible campaign for Ousmane The Argentine is also aiming to become the first Inter player to This will be only the second European Cup\/Champions League final In fact, this will be the fifth European Cup\/Champions League When it comes to experience in major European finals, Inter \u2013 This is Inter\u2019s seventh appearance in the European Cup\/Champions This is PSG\u2019s second appearance in the European Cup\/Champions PSG have played the fourth-most games (167) without ever winning It is somewhat surprising, then, that this is the first ever Both coaches have overseen 32 Champions League games across Inter are unbeaten in their last four matches against French But the Opta supercomputer is not backing them to continue that PSG came out on top in 44.6% of the 10,000 pre-match data-led Overall, PSG are the favourites to win the trophy according to The\u00a0Opta Ahead of kick-off on Saturday, here are the Opta Power Rankings Enjoy this? Subscribe
\ngrand finale. As PSG<\/a> and
\nInter<\/a>
\nprepare to face off in Munich, we look ahead to Saturday\u2019s huge
\ngame with our UEFA Champions League final prediction and
\npreview.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n
\nPSG vs
\nInter Stats: The Key Insights<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n
\nChampions League for the first time in their history, with the Opta
\nsupercomputer giving them a 56.6% probability of lifting the
\ntrophy.<\/li>\n
\nInter, and is only the second European Cup\/Champions League final
\nbetween a French and Italian side.<\/li>\n
\nLeague final, this is Inter\u2019s seventh appearance in the showpiece
\nmatch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
\nin Munich on Saturday as Paris
\nSaint-Germain<\/a> and Inter
\nMilan<\/a> go head-to-head for European glory.<\/p>\n
\nyears: PSG lost to Bayern Munich in 2020, while Inter were defeated
\nby Manchester City in 2023.<\/p>\n
\nBarcelona<\/a>,
\nbut this encounter still promises to be a thriller given the role
\nInter played in their exciting semi-final with Hansi Flick\u2019s
\nside.<\/p>\n
\nLuis Enrique\u2019s team are in the hunt for a treble, having won the
\nLigue 1<\/a>
\ntitle while they also claimed the Coupe de France last weekend.<\/p>\n
\nscored more goals across all competitions than PSG (147), and it is
\nonly the Blaugrana who can boast a higher expected
\ngoals (xG)<\/a> figure over the course of the 2024-25 campaign
\n(145.3 to PSG\u2019s 142.5).<\/p>\n
\nbig chances (280), while Manchester City (2,239) are the only team
\nto have had more touches in the opposition box than the Parisians
\n(2,207).<\/p>\n
\nand is looking to become the sixth manager to win the trophy with
\ntwo different clubs, along with Carlo Ancelotti (Milan, Real
\nMadrid), Ottmar Hitzfeld (Borussia Dortmund, Bayern), Jupp Heynckes
\n(Real Madrid, Bayern Munich), Jos\u00e9 Mourinho (Porto and Inter) and
\nPep Guardiola (Barcelona and Man City).<\/p>\n
\ntreble, and Luis Enrique could become just the second coach, after
\nGuardiola, to win a treble made up of the Champions League, a major
\ndomestic trophy and league title, with two different teams.<\/p>\n
\nyears ago, his Bar\u00e7a team beat an Italian side (Juventus) in the
\nfinal.<\/p>\n
\nscore their most goals (33) in a single major European campaign,
\nthough there are of course now more games in the competition since
\nits revamp this season, with PSG having to compete in a two-legged
\nknockout play-off against Brest following a slightly bumpy expanded
\nleague phase.<\/p>\n
\nChampions League season since 2003-04, when Opta began recording
\nsuch data.<\/p>\n
\nBar\u00e7a, Inter are no pushovers.<\/p>\n
\nagainst their La Liga opponents, but Inter\u2019s success in the
\nChampions League this term has largely been built on solid
\nfoundations. They have kept eight clean sheets, more than any other
\nteam, conceding only 11 goals (including one own goal), six of
\nwhich came across that two-legged semi-final.<\/p>\n![\"Football](\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/inter-xga-ucl-1024x768.jpeg\")
<\/figure>\n
\nof goalkeeper Yann
\nSommer<\/a>.<\/p>\n
\nxGOT<\/a>), Sommer has prevented more goals than any other
\ngoalkeeper in the Champions League this season (+5.9 \u2013 10 goals
\nconceded from 15.9 xG on target faced, excluding own goals).<\/p>\n
\ngoalkeepers for clean sheets (seven). Only Thibaut Courtois (52)
\nand Emiliano Mart\u00ednez (49) have registered more saves in the
\ncompetition this season than the Switzerland international
\n(48).<\/p>\n
\nfactor for Inter, who have conceded a tournament-high 214 shots.
\nThat said, their 17.3 expected goals against shows they are, in the
\nmain, giving up low-quality opportunities. Indeed, the average xG
\nof the shots Inter have faced is just 0.08.<\/p>\n![\"Football](\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/sommer-save-difficulty-1024x512.jpeg\")
<\/figure>\n
\nAcerbi<\/a> has more than played his part.<\/p>\n
\nsemi-final against Barcelona \u2013 could be the fourth-oldest outfield
\nplayer to start a Champions League final (37 years, 110 days),
\nbehind Paolo Maldini for Milan in 2007 (38 years, 331 days), Lothar
\nMatth\u00e4us for Bayern in 1999 (38 years, 66 days) and Ryan Giggs for
\nManchester United in 2011 (37 years, 180 days).<\/p>\n
\nDumfries<\/a>, who was directly involved in five goals across the
\nsemi-final legs against Bar\u00e7a (two goals, three assists), as many
\ngoal contributions as in his 51 previous appearances in Europe.<\/p>\n
\n(43.5%) have handed a higher share of minutes to players aged 30+
\nin the Champions League this season than Inter (43.3%), whose 6,151
\ncollective minutes by players aged 30+ is the most by a team since
\nJuventus in 2016-17 (6,186). All of the 1,350 minutes PSG have
\ngiven to players aged 30 or over have been accounted for by just
\none player: Marquinhos<\/a>.<\/p>\n
\nInter have trailed for just 1.2% of their Champions League matches
\nthis season, falling behind in only three games but never for more
\nthan 370 seconds in any of them \u2013 285 seconds against Bayer
\nLeverkusen, 370 against Bayern and 343 against Barcelona. They have
\nalso spent the highest percentage of their time winning
\n(50.8%).<\/p>\n![\"Football](\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/inter-v-barca.png\")
<\/figure>\n
\nresults.<\/p>\n
\njoint most ever in a major European season, also scoring 26 in
\n2002-03.<\/p>\n
\ncould be the third side to score 2+ goals in every knockout game
\nincluding the final in a season, along with Real Madrid in 1959-60
\n(seven games) and Milan in 1993-94 (two games).<\/p>\n
\nheadlines.<\/p>\n
\nDemb\u00e9l\u00e9<\/a>, who has been directly involved in 12 Champions League
\ngoals this season (eight goals, four assists); the most by a PSG
\nplayer in a single season, while only Zlatan Ibrahimovi\u0107 in 2013-14
\n(10) has scored more times in a single edition of the
\ncompetition.<\/p>\n
\nLautaro Mart\u00ednez<\/a>, meanwhile, has scored in the last 16,
\nquarter-finals and semi-finals. Only five players have scored in
\nthose stages plus the final in one season \u2013 Frank Lampard in
\n2007-08, Diego Milito in 2009-10, Lionel Messi in 2010-11,
\nCristiano Ronaldo in 2013-14 and Sadio Man\u00e9 in 2017-18.<\/p>\n
\nscore 10 goals in a major European season, needing just one more to
\ndo so.<\/p>\n![\"Football](\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/ucl-goals-24-25-1-1024x1024.png\")
<\/figure>\n
\nbetween an Italian and a French side, after Marseille beat Milan
\n1-0 in 1993. That remains the only time a French side has ever won
\nthe trophy. Incidentally, that final was also held in Munich.<\/p>\n
\nfinal to be held in Munich. The victors in each of the previous
\nfour were winning the trophy for the very first time, a run PSG are
\nseeking to continue (Nottingham Forest in 1979, Marseille in 1993,
\nDortmund in 1997, Chelsea in 2012). But, French clubs have only won
\ntwo of their 15 major European finals.<\/p>\nPSG vs
\nInter Head-to-Head<\/strong><\/h3>\n
\nwho finished second in Serie A this term \u2013 have the clear edge.<\/p>\n
\nLeague final, winning the trophy three times (1964, 1965 and 2010).
\nThey did lose their last final appearance, going down 1-0 against
\nMan City in 2023, when Guardiola\u2019s team won the treble.<\/p>\n
\nLeague final. They remain the last French side to win a major
\nEuropean trophy \u2013 the 1995-96 UEFA Cup Winners\u2019 Cup.<\/p>\n
\nthe European Cup\/Champions League since it began in 1955, behind
\nArsenal (211), Dynamo Kyiv (185) and Atl\u00e9tico Madrid (176). A win
\nin this game would see them have the most games before winning
\ntheir first trophy, with Man City the current most on 116 before
\nthey won their 117th game in the final against Inter in 2023.<\/p>\n
\ncompetitive meeting between Inter and PSG. This final also marks
\nthe first meeting between Luis Enrique and Simone Inzaghi.<\/p>\n
\ntheir careers, with Luis Enrique winning 20 matches and Inzaghi
\ncollecting 17 wins.<\/p>\nPSG vs
\nInter: Champions League Final Prediction<\/strong><\/h3>\n![\"Football](\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/champions-league-final-opta-prediction-1024x1024.png\")
<\/figure>\n
\nopponents in Europe (W2 D2) since a 1-0 loss to Marseille in the
\n2011-12 Champions League last 16.<\/p>\n
\nrun.<\/p>\n
\nsimulations inside 90 minutes, while Inter did so in 29%. The game
\ngoes to extra-time and potentially penalties in the remaining 26.4%
\nof sims.<\/p>\n
\nour model, which ranks their chances at 56.6% to Inter\u2019s 43.4%.<\/p>\nPSG vs
\nInter<\/strong>: Predicted Lineups<\/strong><\/h3>\n![\"Football](\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/psg-predicted-lineup-v-inter-1024x1024.png\")
<\/figure>\n![\"Football](\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/inter-predicted-lineup-v-psg-1024x1024.png\")
<\/figure>\nOpta
\nPower Rankings<\/strong><\/h3>\n
\nPower Rankings<\/a>\u00a0are a global team ranking system. They
\nassign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams.
\nThis score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the
\nworst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the
\nworld.<\/p>\n
\nfor both sides.<\/p>\n
\n
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