{"id":818342,"date":"2025-01-09T03:12:36","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T09:12:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/09\/sam-altman-agi-ai-workforce-in-2025-the-battle-of-tech-giants\/"},"modified":"2025-01-09T03:12:36","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T09:12:36","slug":"sam-altman-agi-ai-workforce-in-2025-the-battle-of-tech-giants","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/09\/sam-altman-agi-ai-workforce-in-2025-the-battle-of-tech-giants\/","title":{"rendered":"Sam Altman – AGI & AI Workforce In 2025: The Battle Of Tech Giants"},"content":{"rendered":"
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<\/p>\n

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 06: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman smiles during the OpenAI DevDay event … [+]<\/span> on November 06, 2023 in San Francisco, California. Altman delivered the keynote address at the first-ever Open AI DevDay conference.(Photo by Justin Sullivan\/Getty Images)<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/fbs-accordion>Getty Images<\/small><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

OpenAI has always been great at grabbing attention in the news. Its announcements often come with big, bold claims. For example, it announced GPT-2 but said it was too dangerous to release. Or consider last month\u2019s \u201c12 Days of Christmas\u201d <\/em>campaign, where it showcased a new product every day for 12 days.<\/p>\n

Now, Sam Altman has shared his thoughts on the past year: \u201cWe now know how to build AGI as it\u2019s usually understood.\u201d<\/p>\n

Artificial general intelligence means creating an AI that\u2019s as smart and general as a human. Unlike narrow AI, which is built for specific tasks like translating languages, playing chess or recognizing faces, AGI can handle any intellectual task and adapt across different areas.<\/p>\n

Is AGI Near? No, At least Not The AGI We (or Sam Altman) Imagine<\/h2>\n

I don\u2019t think AGI is near<\/a>. Today\u2019s AI, like ChatGPT, works by recognizing patterns and making predictions \u2014 not by truly understanding. For example, completing the phrase \u201cLife is like a box of\u2026\u201d with \u201cchocolates\u201d relies on probabilities, not reasoning. Try to draw a picture with a group of watches showing 3 minutes after 12, and all the watches will show 10 minutes after 10. Why? Because that\u2019s how marketing pictures typically look. AGI is different. (Thanks, Ned Block!)<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Ask ChatGPT to draw a picture with a group of watches showing 3 minutes after 12. <\/p>\n

<\/fbs-accordion>Lutz Finger<\/small><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

I don\u2019t believe AGI will happen by 2025, and many experts agree. Demis Hassabis, with whom I overlapped during my time at Google, predicts AGI could arrive around 2035. Ray Kurzweil estimates 2032, and J\u00fcrgen Schmidhuber, director of IDSIA, suggests closer to 2050. The skeptics are many, and the timeline remains uncertain.<\/p>\n

The AI Effect: AGI And the Moving Goalpost<\/h2>\n

Altman recently downplayed the \u201cG\u201d in AGI, saying, “My guess is we will hit AGI sooner than most people think, and it will matter much less.” Just on Sunday, he said it has “become a very sloppy term.” This sounds like moving the goalpost. Yes, if we don\u2019t require the AI to be fully general, then it might arrive sooner.<\/p>\n

Some of my colleagues joke that AGI is “what we haven\u2019t yet built” because, as AI systems become capable of performing tasks once thought to require general intelligence, the definition of AGI often shifts. When TikTok\u2019s algorithms recognized someone\u2019s sexual orientation<\/a> before they did, many were amazed. Today, we see this as machine learning and pattern recognition.<\/p>\n

Sam Altman and Reasoning<\/h2>\n

When Altman says, \u201cWe now know how to build AGI,\u201d he is probably referring to OpenAI\u2019s o1. It is a model designed for reasoning through an iterative, self-calling process. The AI has two dedicated steps:<\/p>\n

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  1. Iteration and Reflection:<\/strong> The model generates an output, evaluates or critiques it and refines it in a new round of reasoning.<\/li>\n
  2. Feedback Loop:<\/strong> This creates a feedback loop in which the model revisits its outputs, critiques them and improves them further.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    In essence, GPT with o1 doesn\u2019t just provide answers \u2014 it plans, critiques the plan and continuously improves it.<\/p>\n

    Is this enough? A well-designed prompt \u2014 meaning the human writes the instruction \u2014 can, so far, outpace OpenAI\u2019s o1. That will certainly change and improve over time. It will also allow OpenAI to push the next generation of models. Note the paradigm shift. While OpenAI had previously focused on bigger models, and many of us wondered about scalability, they are now focused on “thinking longer” \u2014 meaning doing this type of inference loop.<\/p>\n

    Altman Vs. Salesforce, Microsoft, Google and Amazon<\/h2>\n

    OpenAI will face serious competition in 2025 from Salesforce, Microsoft, Google and Amazon, all of which would like to dominate the AI agent market. These competitors have access to closed datasets and customer bases. Thus, OpenAI\u2019s biggest hope is that it can be \u201cbest in class.\u201d OpenAI is betting on its ability to outperform everyone else with superior technology. That\u2019s why Altman confidently claims we\u2019ll see AGI.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    Read More<\/a>
    \n Lutz Finger<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 06: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman smiles during the OpenAI DevDay event … [+] on November 06, 2023 in San Francisco, California. Altman delivered the keynote address at the first-ever Open AI DevDay conference.(Photo by Justin Sullivan\/Getty Images) Getty Images OpenAI has always been great at grabbing attention in the news.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":818343,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[69164,22990],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-818342","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-altman","8":"category-workforce"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/818342","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=818342"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/818342\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/818343"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=818342"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=818342"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=818342"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}