{"id":816585,"date":"2025-01-02T06:25:13","date_gmt":"2025-01-02T12:25:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/02\/theres-a-60-chance-bitcoin-hits-170000-this-cycle-according-to-analyst-jamie-coutts-heres-the-timeline\/"},"modified":"2025-01-02T06:25:13","modified_gmt":"2025-01-02T12:25:13","slug":"theres-a-60-chance-bitcoin-hits-170000-this-cycle-according-to-analyst-jamie-coutts-heres-the-timeline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/02\/theres-a-60-chance-bitcoin-hits-170000-this-cycle-according-to-analyst-jamie-coutts-heres-the-timeline\/","title":{"rendered":"There\u2019s a 60% Chance Bitcoin Hits $170,000 This Cycle, According to Analyst Jamie Coutts \u2013 Here\u2019s the Timeline"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoins <\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Real Vision\u2019s chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts is saying that Bitcoin (<a href=\"https:\/\/dailyhodl.com\/currencies\/bitcoin\">BTC<\/a>) could witness an over 155% surge from current levels during this market cycle.<\/p>\n<p>In an appearance on Raoul Pal\u2019s The Journey Man YouTube channel, Coutts <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ePisCpIe_lU\">says<\/a> that Bitcoin could explode to six-figure territory as the global money supply increases.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cMy base case is if we just look at global M2 (money supply) and back it out to August which was where the Bitcoin cycle peaks, that infers a price of about $100,000 on Bitcoin. I\u2019m placing as a potential outcome but a very low probability outcome. My proportionality forecast is $170,000.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The crypto analyst further says there are \u201cmore optimistic scenarios\u201d where Bitcoin could skyrocket to up to $234,000 and even higher.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cThe question is what probability do you assign to each of those potential outcomes to come up with some sort of grounded probability-weighted projection. And so as I mentioned, global M2 regression line of $100,000 is sort of like my base case or worst case. And then all I\u2019ve done is I\u2019ve looked at these other potential outcomes and assigned a probability.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>I don\u2019t think Bitcoin is going to go parabolic to $500,000 this cycle. I see $500,000 in the future, not this cycle. So it\u2019s a very low probability. And the outcome is just this probability-weighted market forecast of 189,000 for Bitcoin by August of next year, which will give it a market cap of around $3.75 trillion.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>According to Coutts, Bitcoin has a 15% probability of hitting $100,000 by around mid-August of 2025. Over the same period, Bitcoin has a 60% chance of reaching $170,335, a 20% chance of skyrocketing to $234,000 and a 5% chance of hitting $500,000.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt data-eio=\"l\" data-old-src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==\" src=\"https:\/\/dailyhodl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/JC-BTC-1025.png\"><figcaption>Source: Jamie Coutts\/YouTube<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Bitcoin is trading at $66,633 at time of writing.<\/p>\n<p><em>Generated Image: Midjourney<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> Crypto News Bot <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com.au\/news\/theres-a-60-chance-bitcoin-hits-170000-this-cycle-according-to-analyst-jamie-coutts-heres-the-timeline-124178\/\" class=\"button purchase\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Real Vision\u2019s chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts is saying that Bitcoin (BTC) could witness an over 155% surge from current levels during this market cycle. In an appearance on Raoul Pal\u2019s The Journey Man YouTube channel, Coutts says that Bitcoin could explode to six-figure territory as the global money supply increases. \u201cMy base case is<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":816586,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[64,63],"tags":[11476],"class_list":["post-816585","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-chance","category-theres","tag-bitcoins"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/816585","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=816585"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/816585\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/816586"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=816585"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=816585"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=816585"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}