{"id":627292,"date":"2023-04-09T09:49:52","date_gmt":"2023-04-09T14:49:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.sellorbuyhomefast.com\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/were-still-talking-about-y-combinator-valuations\/"},"modified":"2023-04-09T09:49:52","modified_gmt":"2023-04-09T14:49:52","slug":"were-still-talking-about-y-combinator-valuations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/were-still-talking-about-y-combinator-valuations\/","title":{"rendered":"We\u2019re still talking about Y Combinator valuations"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p id=\"speakable-summary\"><em>Welcome to Startups Weekly, a nuanced take on this week\u2019s startup news and trends by Senior Reporter and Equity co-host\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/natashathereporter\/?hl=en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Natasha Mascarenhas.<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0To get this in your inbox, subscribe\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/newsletters\/\"><em>here<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Y Combinator\u2019s new era, with smaller batches, a refocus only on early-stage investing and a new chief executive, is in full swing. As The TechCrunch team sat through hundreds of startup pitches during YC\u2019s biannual Demo Day, the backdrop of change was certainly noted.<\/p>\n<p>For one, a majority of the early-stage investors I\u2019ve spoken to have complained about the valuations coming out of the cohort, saying that it\u2019s getting too pricey to invest. It\u2019s a conversation that bubbles up around Demo Day time and time again, but given the downturn, some expected to see valuations that they think are more realistic for businesses only a few months old. I\u2019m also hearing that YC\u2019s new standard deal, specifically its most favored nation clause, has played a role in incentivizing founders to pursue higher valuations.<\/p>\n<p>There was a time when a startup, fresh out of the program, raised at a valuation north of $30 million, only to be beat the next year, when another startup out of YC raised at a $75 million valuation. (Both the aforementioned rounds were led by A16z, and to be fair, A16z did not complain to me about early-stage valuations).<\/p>\n<p>To me, high valuations have always been the conversation around YC. I don\u2019t know what will change it, whether it\u2019s a new competitor, a fresh influx of check-writers as some leave, or if the conversation even needs to disappear in the first place. I will say that if you build something people want, that\u2019s great \u2014 you just have to keep that \u201cwant\u201d alive as you build new iterations of that first product.<\/p>\n<p>Garry Tan, the new chief executive of YC, seemingly addressed some of the valuation conversations on Twitter. writing more broadly that \u201cvalue investing in venture is like restricting your search for your lost keys under only brightly lit street lamps.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Tan added in the same thread, \u201cCompetition and high valuations exist because large possible markets represent large possible outcomes. Competition doesn\u2019t mean a market or idea is bad, it typically means a great market that lots of people want \u2026 The best investors tend not to use heat as a signal one way or another.\u201d<\/p>\n<div>\n<blockquote data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oh it\u2019s Gripe About Seed Valuations Day, seems to happen around 2 days every 6 months or so ????<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Garry Tan \u9648\u5609\u5174 (@garrytan) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/garrytan\/status\/1643965719548395521?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 6, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<p>Much has changed since May 2022, when <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2022\/05\/19\/yc-advises-founders-to-plan-for-the-worst\/\">YC sent a memo to founders to \u201cplan for the worst.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u00a0\u2026 During economic downturns even the top tier VC funds with a lot of money slow down their deployment of capital (lesser funds often stop investing or die). This causes less competition between funds for deals which results in lower valuations, lower round sizes, and many fewer deals completed.<\/p>\n<p>In these situations, investors also reserve more capital to backstop their best performing companies, which further reduces the number of new financings. This slow down will have a disproportionate impact on international companies, asset heavy companies, low margin companies, hardtech, and other companies with high burn and long time to revenue.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>What I would really love is, when YC does its blog post introducing the batch, it would also offer some sort of analysis on which percentage of startups are raising at $8 million valuations versus $20 million valuations versus $45 million valuations. I wonder if it can clear up some misconceptions (or hey, I\u2019ll even take it if they confirm them!). While we\u2019re at it, the percentage of startups that go on to raise a Series A would also be a fascinating data point.<\/p>\n<p>Now, even if valuations have not come down for some YC startups, some of the aforementioned advice has been taken, specifically around the slowdown that will be felt for international companies. Just 21% of publicly announced startups in the winter 2023 batch are based internationally compared to 42% in the batch prior.<\/p>\n<p>Anyway, that is what is top of mind for me coming out of Demo Day. I always enjoy the two-day pitch-off because it gives us a glimpse of what is top priority for a whole slice of founders, some of whom are trying to put meat back in plant-based meat.<\/p>\n<p>Here are some of our pieces for further reading:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>AI is in full force, <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/03\/30\/ai-startups-ycombinator-demo-day\/\">unsurprisingly,<\/a> but, astoundingly, yes, there\u2019s a whole cohort of <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/04\/these-y-combinator-startups-are-trying-to-build-chatgpt-for-x\/\">Y Combinator-backed startups that are trying to build \u2018ChatGPT for X.\u2019<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/05\/y-combinator-demo-day-favorites-part-one\/\">Our favorite startups from YC\u2019s Winter 2023 Demo Day \u2014 Part 1<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/06\/y-combinator-demo-day-2023-favorites-part-two\/\">Our favorite startups from YC\u2019s Winter 2023 Demo Day \u2014 Part 2<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In the rest of this newsletter we\u2019re talking about horizontal verticals and data leaks. As always, you can follow me on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nmasc_\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Twitter<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/natashathereporter\/?hl=en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Instagram<\/a> to continue the conversation. If you feel like supporting me extra, subscribe<a href=\"https:\/\/natasha.substack.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> to my personal (and free!) Substack<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Another AI takeaway for you<\/h2>\n<p>Last week, a founder told me that <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/03\/cerebral-valley-ai-summit\/\">\u201cthere\u2019s too much opportunity\u201d in Cerebral Valley<\/a>, the new nickname for Hayes Valley as it gets overtaken with tech enthusiasts and builders in the AI space. I ended up writing a whole story about how people are riding the hype wave and trying their best not to fall off.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Here\u2019s another takeaway: <\/strong>The AI \u201cboom\u201d isn\u2019t really just about startups building AI tools; it\u2019s any startup that is trying to integrate AI \u2014 from Duolingo to a direct-to-consumer business \u2014 to stay competitive. As a result, investors don\u2019t really need to invest in net new companies to get exposure to AI\u2019s potential halo effect. If all your portfolio companies start to integrate with the right existing tools on the market, they could bloom too. It\u2019s the promise of horizontal tech.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/06\/anthropics-5b-4-year-plan-to-take-on-openai\/\">Anthropic\u2019s $5B, 4-year plan to take on OpenAI<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/04\/the-takeaways-from-stanfords-386-page-report-on-the-state-of-ai\/\">The takeaways from Stanford\u2019s 386-page report on the state of AI<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div id=\"attachment_2525481\">\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2525481\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/anthropic-header.jpg\" alt=\"Anthropic logo and company name\" width=\"1024\" height=\"461\"  ><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-2525481\"><strong>Image Credits:<\/strong> Anthropic<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Don\u2019t ever leak data, but especially if you\u2019re building this<\/h2>\n<p>On Equity this week, we spoke about a shocking data leak that TC\u2019s Zack Whittaker broke: <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/04\/monument-tempest-alcohol-data-breach\/?tpcc=tcplustwitter&#038;guccounter=1&#038;guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly90LmNvLw&#038;guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAJnalrervsInRSgaZVsjU419RUNcXSliLYMxHJnviKNA_yVMlI6DhurjNVmXtNsMfkNgYwGFQ-TThtEoChEqs0kPBwOCEd7JQ3vhVkr-yXMo-tw1dskepMYw1yvffBbULGgfGcFAAWSUJzWehZNjpuaOWJfo8phmThXkFNCV6q0I\">\u201cAlcohol recovery startups Monument and Tempest shared patients\u2019 private data with advertisers.\u201d<\/a> More than 100,000 patients are affected.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Here\u2019s what to know: <\/strong>Data shared with advertisers includes patient names, phone numbers, photo, unique digital ID, as well as \u201cwhich services or plan the patient is using, appointment information and assessment and survey responses submitted by the patient, which includes detailed responses about a person\u2019s alcohol consumption and used to determine their course of treatment.\u201d The uniquely vulnerable customer base that Monument and Tempest both work with complicates the years-long leak even more. Like we said on the show, <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/07\/dont-ever-leak-data-but-especially-if-youre-building-this\/\">don\u2019t ever leak data, but especially if you\u2019re building this.<\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_2198707\">\n<p><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2198707\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-1079012838.jpg\" alt=\"Digital Human Brain Covered with Networks\" width=\"1024\" height=\"713\"  ><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-2198707\"><strong>Image Credits:<\/strong> Andriy Onufriyenko \/ Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Etc., etc.<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Throwback Saturday:<\/strong> If you missed Startups Weekly last week, catch my last issue here: \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/01\/how-to-prompt-ai-chat-gpt\/\">Always be prompting.\u201d<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>Let\u2019s hang on campus?<\/strong> TechCrunch is coming to Boston in less than two weeks! On April 20, I\u2019ll be at TC Early Stage with my favorite colleagues to interview top experts at the best one-day founder summit in town.<a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/events\/tc-early-stage-2023\/\"> Book your pass ASAP!<\/a> Speakers include <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/02\/03\/vc-kerty-levy-discusses-the-northeast-seed-market\/\">Techstars\u2019 Kerty Levy<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/02\/01\/vc-dayna-grayson-takes-on-tam-at-tc-early-stage-2023\/\">Construct Capital\u2019s Dayna Grayson<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/01\/23\/how-to-make-sure-you-have-a-good-startup-idea\/\">NFX\u2019s James Currier.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>Programming note:<\/strong> If you\u2019re reading this on a browser, get this in your inbox too! Subscribe <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/newsletters\/\">here<\/a> and share it with your friends.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Seen on TechCrunch<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/07\/twitter-substack-censorship-retweet\/\">Twitter won\u2019t let you retweet, like or reply to Substack links<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/03\/a-decade-later-this-vr-treadmill-is-finally-ready-to-ship\/\">A decade later, this VR treadmill is finally ready to ship<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/03\/a-knife-so-sharp-you-dont-feel-it-cut\/\">A knife so sharp you don\u2019t feel it cut<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/06\/the-robots-are-already-here\/\">The robots are already here<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/06\/apple-reinvents-ipod-airpods-case-patent\/\">Apple (re)invents the iPod<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Seen on TechCrunch+<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/07\/the-first-cohort-of-upcoming-unicorn-ipos-is-taking-shape\/\">The first group of upcoming potential unicorn IPOs is shaping up well<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/07\/3-takeaways-from-substacks-newly-released-financial-results\/\">3 takeaways from Substack\u2019s newly released financial results<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/06\/friends-and-family-investment-funds\/\">Funds offering \u2018friends and family\u2019 checks could bring the change underrepresented founders need<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/06\/q1-2023-vc-performance-bad\/\">Without the Stripe and OpenAI deals, global VC results would have been even worse in Q1 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<h2>And finally, a note on the devastating loss of Bob Lee, an entrepreneurial force<\/h2>\n<p>Bob Lee, chief product officer at Mobile Coin and the creator of Cash App, <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/05\/bob-lee-creator-of-cash-app-and-former-cto-of-square-stabbed-to-death\/\">was killed this past week in San Francisco.<\/a> The outpouring of messages that followed confirmation of Lee\u2019s untimely death \u2014 messages from Block\u2019s Jack Dorsey to Figma\u2019s Dylan Field \u2014 offered a window into just how much of a force he was within tech. Sending the deepest condolences to his family, and may he rest in peace.<\/p>\n<p>Take care, and tell your people you love them,<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nmasc_\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">N<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2023\/04\/08\/were-still-talking-about-y-combinator-valuations\/\" class=\"button purchase\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Read More<\/a><br \/>\n Natasha Mascarenhas<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to Startups Weekly, a nuanced take on this week\u2019s startup news and trends by Senior Reporter and Equity co-host\u00a0Natasha Mascarenhas.\u00a0To get this in your inbox, subscribe\u00a0here. Y Combinator\u2019s new era, with smaller batches, a refocus only on early-stage investing and a new chief executive, is in full swing. As The TechCrunch team sat through<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":627293,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1209,46,2882],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-627292","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-talking","8":"category-technology","9":"category-were"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/627292","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=627292"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/627292\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/627293"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=627292"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=627292"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=627292"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}