{"id":615407,"date":"2023-03-07T23:38:00","date_gmt":"2023-03-08T05:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.sellorbuyhomefast.com\/index.php\/2023\/03\/07\/adani-fallout-could-have-political-implications-for-india-in-the-longer-term-economist-says\/"},"modified":"2023-03-07T23:38:00","modified_gmt":"2023-03-08T05:38:00","slug":"adani-fallout-could-have-political-implications-for-india-in-the-longer-term-economist-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/2023\/03\/07\/adani-fallout-could-have-political-implications-for-india-in-the-longer-term-economist-says\/","title":{"rendered":"Adani fallout could have political implications for India in the longer term, economist says"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"RegularArticle-ArticleBody-5\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2\">\n<div id=\"ArticleBody-InlineImage-107195500\" data-test=\"InlineImage\">\n<p>Indian billionaire Gautam Adani&#8217;s rapid downfall has sparked renewed scrutiny on the tycoon&#8217;s close ties with India&#8217;s Prime Minister Narendra Modi.<\/p>\n<p>Punit Paranjpe | Afp | Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>The fallout from the Adani Group turmoil could have political implications for India, said a chief Asia Pacific economist at Natixis.<\/p>\n<p>While corporate governance issues affect countries globally, what is different about the Adani case for India is that its &#8220;highly political,&#8221; Alicia Garcia Herrero told CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;Squawk Box Asia&#8221; on Tuesday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div>\n<h2>related investing news<\/h2>\n<div id=\"Regular Article-ExclusiveContentBucket-1-0\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/107054779-1651519054726-gettyimages-1394958866-dscf8142_2022050295009852.jpeg?v=1678149821\" alt=\"Veteran investor says we're in another bear market rally \u2014 and names the stocks to trade it\"><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/pro\/\" data-type=\"pro-button\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static-redesign.cnbcfm.com\/dist\/f7f282b4f7f47fceda1e.svg\" alt=\"CNBC Pro\"><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>This is especially true now, she noted, since <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/03\/03\/indias-supreme-court-orders-probe-into-adani-allegations-.html\">the country&#8217;s Supreme Court has launched an investigations into the Adani Group<\/a>&#8216;s allegations.<\/p>\n<p>Indian billionaire founder Gautam Adani has been under scrutiny after allegations in January from U.S. short-seller firm\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.com\/v3\/__https:\/hindenburgresearch.com\/adani\/__;!!PIZeeW5wscynRQ!sEllI3b0geH7m1bJs0ZR2HfZGzO1PrxB0i5hbgzpVSOHAC6xoNfOFS9DLqF0lP4ItR30ELJnjdCseqXWTDmhI8mV$\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hindenburg Research<\/a>\u00a0that accused the Adani Group of companies of fraud.<\/p>\n<p>The Adani Group has <a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.com\/v3\/__https:\/www.adani.com\/-\/media\/Project\/Adani\/Invetsors\/Adani-Response-to-Hindenburg-January-29-2023.pdf__;!!PIZeeW5wscynRQ!sEllI3b0geH7m1bJs0ZR2HfZGzO1PrxB0i5hbgzpVSOHAC6xoNfOFS9DLqF0lP4ItR30ELJnjdCseqXWTCFIAnPM$\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">denied any wrongdoing<\/a>, but it did not stop the market rout that wiped out\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/02\/28\/indias-adani-to-repay-up-to-790-million-share-backed-loans-by-march.html\">roughly $140 billion<\/a>\u00a0in market value from the seven largest listed companies under the conglomerate. Adani, India&#8217;s top industrialist, has since<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/02\/01\/adani-vs-hindenburg-how-asias-richest-man-lost-his-crown-in-just-a-few-days.html\"> lost his crown as Asia&#8217;s wealthiest man<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Investor concerns over Adani&#8217;s governance problems will likely be short term, said Herrero.<\/p>\n<p>However, the long-term political fallout for India remains to be seen, the economist said. Given the close ties between Adani and Prime Minister\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/narendra-modi\/\">Narendra Modi<\/a>, its still unclear whether the turmoil could hurt the Indian leader politically, Herrero said.<\/p>\n<p>The picture could be get further complicated by <a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.com\/v3\/__https:\/www.g20.org\/en\/g20-india-2023\/logo-theme\/__;!!PIZeeW5wscynRQ!sEllI3b0geH7m1bJs0ZR2HfZGzO1PrxB0i5hbgzpVSOHAC6xoNfOFS9DLqF0lP4ItR30ELJnjdCseqXWTJjbOONd$\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">India&#8217;s G-20 presidency this year<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I would argue, if things have to be pushed further and there [are] closer linkages, in terms of how this falls out with Modi \u2014\u00a0it can become highly difficult, given the G-20 and of course, in the run up to the elections,&#8221; said Herrero.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;That&#8217;s why we need to watch because it goes beyond the group in a way&#8221; in terms of &#8220;what the consequences for India might eventually be,&#8221; she noted.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><a id=\"headline0\"><\/a>Under probe<\/h2>\n<div>\n<p>Her comments come after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/03\/03\/indias-supreme-court-orders-probe-into-adani-allegations-.html\">India&#8217;s Supreme court last week formed a panel to investigate<\/a> if there were regulatory failures related to allegations against the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/ADANIENT-IN\/\">Adani Group<\/a>, after the Hindenburg report.<\/p>\n<p>India&#8217;s top court also directed the country&#8217;s markets regulator, the Securities and Exchange Board of India, to probe &#8220;whether there was any manipulation of stock prices in contravention of existing laws,&#8221; the court order said.\u00a0SEBI was ordered to conclude the investigation in two months and file a status report.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-107186478\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000283538\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-107186478\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/107186479-16751720351675172030-27995751206-1080pnbcnews.jpg?v=1675175024&#038;w=750&#038;h=422&#038;vtcrop=y\" alt=\"Adani Group Saga: India's market put to the test\"><span><\/span><span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Adani&#8217;s\u00a0fall has sparked\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/02\/16\/adanis-epic-fall-reignites-scrutiny-on-tycoons-close-ties-modi-.html\">renewed scrutiny\u00a0on his close ties with Modi<\/a>.\u00a0Both men hail from India&#8217;s Western state of Gujarat. Adani was an early supporter of Modi&#8217;s political aspirations and championed the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.com\/v3\/__https:\/www.adani.com\/-\/media\/Project\/Adani\/downloads\/Gautam-Adani-The-Growth-King-India-Today.pdf?la=en__;!!PIZeeW5wscynRQ!sEllI3b0geH7m1bJs0ZR2HfZGzO1PrxB0i5hbgzpVSOHAC6xoNfOFS9DLqF0lP4ItR30ELJnjdCseqXWTMNJExDJ$\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Indian leader&#8217;s growth vision<\/a>\u00a0for the country.<\/p>\n<p>Last month, billionaire investor George Soros said the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/02\/20\/india-hits-back-after-soros-comments-on-adani-fallout-and-pm-modi.html\">Adani turmoil<\/a>\u00a0will greatly weaken Modi&#8217;s grip on power and lead to a &#8220;democratic revival&#8221; in the country.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Modi and business tycoon Adani are close allies; their fate is intertwined.\u00a0Adani Enterprises\u00a0tried to raise funds in the stock market, but he failed,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.georgesoros.com\/2023\/02\/16\/remarks-delivered-at-the-2023-munich-security-conference\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Soros said at the 2023 Munich Security Conference<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Adani is accused of stock manipulation and his stock collapsed like a house of cards. Modi is silent on the subject, but he will have to answer questions from foreign investors and in parliament.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Adani Group did not respond to CNBC&#8217;s request for comment.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h2><a id=\"headline1\"><\/a>Investor interest<\/h2>\n<div>\n<p>Given the political overtones of the Adani case, &#8220;we are seeing very different behavior across the investor landscape,&#8221; said Herrero. Sovereign wealth funds in the Gulf and the U.S. seem to be more in favor of the embattled Adani Group, she added.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We have sovereign wealth funds \u2026 basically in a way supporting, certainly in the Gulf. And then we have specific investors in the U.S. as we just heard,&#8221; said Herrero. She was referring to the recent investment by U.S.-based\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.com\/v3\/__https:\/www.adaniports.com\/Newsroom\/Media-Releases\/Adani-Portfolio-companies-complete-INR-15446-Cr-secondary-equity-transaction-with-GQG-Partners__;!!PIZeeW5wscynRQ!sEllI3b0geH7m1bJs0ZR2HfZGzO1PrxB0i5hbgzpVSOHAC6xoNfOFS9DLqF0lP4ItR30ELJnjdCseqXWTN_43U2c$\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GQG Partners, which purchased shares worth $1.87 billion\u00a0investment<\/a> in four Adani portfolio companies.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-107203465\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\" role=\"region\" tabindex=\"0\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000288474\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-107203465\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/107203475-2ED4-WEX-030623-Mody.jpg?v=1678103819&#038;w=750&#038;h=422&#038;vtcrop=y\" alt=\"GQG Partners' CIO Rajiv Jain on his Adani Group investment thesis\"><span><\/span><span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Rajiv Jain, the co-founder and CIO of GQG Partners, which has $92 billion of assets under management as of end-January, told CNBC his company was betting on the Adani group, despite the ongoing turmoil.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Controversy is part of how you get better returns,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/03\/06\/rajiv-jain-embattled-adani-receives-a-vote-of-confidence-from-us-asset-manager.html\">Jain told CNBC in an exclusive interview.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>When asked about India&#8217;s Supreme Court ordering an investigation into Adani&#8217;s business, Jain said the regulatory risk was &#8220;low.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Business regulation tends to be a risk \u2026 nothing is a zero probability, but I think it&#8217;s a low enough probability for us to invest.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u2014\u00a0 CNBC&#8217;s Seema Mody contributed to this report<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/03\/08\/adani-fallout-could-have-political-implications-for-india-economist.html\" class=\"button purchase\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Read More<\/a><br \/>\n Maribel Lanz<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Indian billionaire Gautam Adani&#8217;s rapid downfall has sparked renewed scrutiny on the tycoon&#8217;s close ties with India&#8217;s Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Punit Paranjpe | Afp | Getty Images The fallout from the Adani Group turmoil could have political implications for India, said a chief Asia Pacific economist at Natixis. While corporate governance issues affect countries [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":615408,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[67079,23292,534],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-615407","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-adani","8":"category-fallout","9":"category-financial"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/615407","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=615407"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/615407\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/615408"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=615407"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=615407"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsycanuse.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=615407"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}