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Inside the prediction markets: Malta Drafts Rules as Blockchain.com and Jump Trading Expand Their Reach

Inside

Friday, 17/07/2026 | 19:45 GMT by
Tanya Chepkova

  • Malta is developing the EU’s first dedicated regulatory framework for prediction markets, proposing a licensing regime outside both financial services and gambling law.
  • Blockchain.com and Jump Trading expanded their commitment to prediction markets this week through distribution and trading infrastructure.

Valletta Malta city Skyline

Valletta Malta city Skyline

Prediction markets spent much of the past year fighting legal battles. This week, the focus shifted elsewhere: governments discussed new regulatory frameworks, trading platforms expanded distribution, and institutional firms continued building dedicated businesses around the asset class.

Malta Wants Its Own Rulebook for Prediction Markets


Malta is exploring a dedicated regulatory framework for prediction markets that would sit outside both traditional financial services and gambling law.

Prime Minister Robert Abela has pledged to give the Malta Gaming Authority powers to license the sector, while Economy Minister Silvio Schembri said the government is actively developing the proposal.

If adopted, Malta would become the first EU member state with a bespoke prediction market regime.

While ESMA focused on how certain contracts should be classified under financial services law, Malta is exploring whether prediction markets warrant a separate regulatory category altogether.

Malta followed a similar path in 2018 by introducing a dedicated legal framework for crypto assets before the EU later replaced national regimes with MiCA.

Blockchain.com Adds Prediction Markets to Its Brokerage App

Blockchain.com has integrated Polymarket into its brokerage app, allowing users to access prediction markets alongside spot crypto trading from a single interface.

The feature is powered by Polymarket’s API and lets users place trades without leaving the platform.

The launch extends a broader distribution trend across the industry.

Rather than relying solely on their own websites, prediction market operators are increasingly reaching users through established trading platforms with existing customer bases.

Robinhood has already introduced event contracts through Kalshi, while Interactive Brokers offers prediction markets alongside equities, options, and futures.

Jump Trading Builds a Team for Prediction Markets

Jump Trading has doubled its dedicated prediction markets team this year as the firm expands into one of the fastest-growing segments of event-based trading.

According to Bloomberg, the group is recruiting beyond its traditional pool of quantitative traders, seeking candidates with backgrounds ranging from sports betting to accounting.

Unlike traditional quantitative strategies built on deep historical datasets, many event contracts depend on unique or infrequent outcomes where historical data is limited and market context plays a larger role.

For one of the world’s largest quantitative trading firms, prediction markets have become large enough to justify building a dedicated trading capability.

Number of the Week

$100,000

That’s how much a White House technical assistant allegedly made by trading Kalshi contracts tied to President Donald Trump’s speeches, according to an ABC News report.

The employee, who operated Trump’s teleprompter, allegedly bet on whether specific words or topics would appear in more than a dozen speeches over a three-month period.

Kalshi said it detected the activity through its surveillance systems and referred the trades to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

President Donald Trump’s longtime teleprompter operator is under investigation by federal regulators in connection with bets they allegedly made on the prediction market platform Kalshi related to statements made by Trump.

The operator allegedly made more than $90,000 in profits… pic.twitter.com/Trv7pxCpby

— CNBC (@CNBC) July 16, 2026

Bottom Line

Malta’s proposal still needs a formal legislative text, Jump Trading’s hiring push is ongoing, and Blockchain.com’s integration is days old. None of these are finished stories.

Whether Malta becomes the first EU country with a standalone prediction market framework — and whether other member states follow before ESMA sets its own rules is the one to watch.

Prediction markets spent much of the past year fighting legal battles. This week, the focus shifted elsewhere: governments discussed new regulatory frameworks, trading platforms expanded distribution, and institutional firms continued building dedicated businesses around the asset class.

Malta Wants Its Own Rulebook for Prediction Markets


Malta is exploring a dedicated regulatory framework for prediction markets that would sit outside both traditional financial services and gambling law.

Prime Minister Robert Abela has pledged to give the Malta Gaming Authority powers to license the sector, while Economy Minister Silvio Schembri said the government is actively developing the proposal.

If adopted, Malta would become the first EU member state with a bespoke prediction market regime.

While ESMA focused on how certain contracts should be classified under financial services law, Malta is exploring whether prediction markets warrant a separate regulatory category altogether.

Malta followed a similar path in 2018 by introducing a dedicated legal framework for crypto assets before the EU later replaced national regimes with MiCA.

Blockchain.com Adds Prediction Markets to Its Brokerage App

Blockchain.com has integrated Polymarket into its brokerage app, allowing users to access prediction markets alongside spot crypto trading from a single interface.

The feature is powered by Polymarket’s API and lets users place trades without leaving the platform.

The launch extends a broader distribution trend across the industry.

Rather than relying solely on their own websites, prediction market operators are increasingly reaching users through established trading platforms with existing customer bases.

Robinhood has already introduced event contracts through Kalshi, while Interactive Brokers offers prediction markets alongside equities, options, and futures.

Jump Trading Builds a Team for Prediction Markets

Jump Trading has doubled its dedicated prediction markets team this year as the firm expands into one of the fastest-growing segments of event-based trading.

According to Bloomberg, the group is recruiting beyond its traditional pool of quantitative traders, seeking candidates with backgrounds ranging from sports betting to accounting.

Unlike traditional quantitative strategies built on deep historical datasets, many event contracts depend on unique or infrequent outcomes where historical data is limited and market context plays a larger role.

For one of the world’s largest quantitative trading firms, prediction markets have become large enough to justify building a dedicated trading capability.

Number of the Week

$100,000

That’s how much a White House technical assistant allegedly made by trading Kalshi contracts tied to President Donald Trump’s speeches, according to an ABC News report.

The employee, who operated Trump’s teleprompter, allegedly bet on whether specific words or topics would appear in more than a dozen speeches over a three-month period.

Kalshi said it detected the activity through its surveillance systems and referred the trades to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

President Donald Trump’s longtime teleprompter operator is under investigation by federal regulators in connection with bets they allegedly made on the prediction market platform Kalshi related to statements made by Trump.

The operator allegedly made more than $90,000 in profits… pic.twitter.com/Trv7pxCpby

— CNBC (@CNBC) July 16, 2026

Bottom Line

Malta’s proposal still needs a formal legislative text, Jump Trading’s hiring push is ongoing, and Blockchain.com’s integration is days old. None of these are finished stories.

Whether Malta becomes the first EU country with a standalone prediction market framework — and whether other member states follow before ESMA sets its own rules is the one to watch.

Tanya Chepkova

  • 295 Articles
  • 2 Followers

Tanya Chepkova is a News Editor at Finance Magnates with more than 16 years of experience in financial journalism, covering forex, crypto, and digital asset markets. Her work spans daily industry reporting and data-driven, long-form explainers focused on market structure, trading models, and regulatory shifts.

Before joining Finance Magnates, she led the editorial team of a cryptocurrency-focused media outlet for six years. Her reporting combines analytical depth with clear storytelling, with particular attention to how structural changes in trading, stablecoin infrastructure, and emerging products such as prediction markets reshape the broader financial ecosystem. She covers global developments and provides additional insight into CIS markets.

Areas of Coverage:
Crypto and digital asset markets
Prediction markets
Stablecoins and cross-border payments
Industry analysis and long-form explainers

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China fines Trip.com $765 million for forcing hotels into exclusive deals and controlling their prices

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TL;DR China fines Trip.com $765 million for forcing hotel partners into exclusive deals and controlling their pricing China’s market regulator fined Trip.com Group $765 million on Saturday after concluding that the country’s largest online travel platform abused its dominant market position. The State Administration for Market Regulation said Trip.com used its traffic allocation algorithms, platform
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Want Your Business to Be Seen Everywhere? Meet Tonia Ryan, Creator of Fix Your Search

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Grey Business processes $61 million as stablecoins dominate payments

Grey Business enables startups and SMEs to open US Dollar (USD) corporate accounts, send and receive international payments, convert currencies, and transact using stablecoins such as USDC and USDT...
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Utah Marketers to Host Free Business Networking Event in Layton on June 24

The custom web design company is hosting free monthly networking events for Northern Utah business leaders, with the next event scheduled for June 24 from 4 to 6 p.m. Utah Marketers is hosting a free local business networking event on June 24 from 4 to 6 p.m. at the company’s Layton office. The event is
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