Bitcoin will be ‘top performer’ in 2026 after getting crushed this year, says VanEck

Bitcoins

Bitcoins VanEck’s David Schassler expects gold and bitcoin to rebound sharply as investor demand for hard assets is expected to rise.

Updated Dec 23, 2025, 9:43 p.m. Published Dec 23, 2025, 8:25 p.m.

Bitcoin BTC$88,948.27 has disappointed investors this year, trailing both gold and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 stock index, despite expectations that it would benefit from fiat currency devaluation.

But according to a VanEck manager, the largest crypto asset could be setting up for a major comeback next year.

“Bitcoin is lagging the Nasdaq 100 Index by roughly 50% year-to-date, and that dislocation is setting it up to be a top performer in 2026,” said David Schassler, head of multi-asset solutions at VanEck, in the firm’s recently published 2026 outlook.

While this year’s weakness reflects a softer risk appetite and tight liquidity, the thesis for bitcoin remains intact, Schassler wrote. “As debasement [currency devaluation] ramps, liquidity returns, and BTC historically responds sharply,” he added.

“We have been buying,” he said.

Schassler’s broader thesis centers on a powerful combination of monetary debasement, technological transformation and the rise of hard assets. The asset manager argues that funding future liabilities and political ambitions will increasingly rely on money printing, pushing investors toward scarce stores of value, such as gold and bitcoin.

He expects gold to surge next year to $5,000, extending its already impressive run a little more than 10% for current levels. “Gold is one of the strongest major assets this year, and we expect that momentum to carry it forward,” he said. The yellow metal is up over 70% this year, currently trading around $4,492 per ounce.

At the same time, a quiet bull market in natural resources is underway, fueled by the infrastructure demands of artificial intelligence, energy transitions, robotics and re-industrialization. These “old-world assets,” as Schassler put it, are building the foundation for the new world economy.

Read more: Gold, silver shine in debasement trade as bitcoin is left behind

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KuCoin captured a record share of centralised exchange volume in 2025, with more than $1.25tn traded as its volumes grew faster than the wider crypto market.

What to know:

  • KuCoin recorded over $1.25 trillion in total trading volume in 2025, equivalent to an average of roughly $114 billion per month, marking its strongest year on record.
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  • Spot and derivatives volumes were evenly split, each exceeding $500 billion for the year, signalling broad-based usage rather than reliance on a single product line.
  • Altcoins accounted for the majority of trading activity, reinforcing KuCoin’s role as a primary liquidity venue beyond BTC and ETH at a time when majors saw more muted turnover.
  • Even as overall crypto volumes softened mid-year, KuCoin maintained elevated baseline activity, indicating structurally higher user engagement rather than short-lived volume spikes.

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Tether adds nearly $800 million in bitcoin, bringing holdings above 96,000 BTC

bitcoins Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino at White House

The purchase is part of Tether’s strategy to use up to 15% of its quarterly profits for bitcoin acquisitions.

What to know:

  • Tether added 8,888.88 BTC to its treasury wallet as part of its Q4 2025 profit allocation.
  • The purchase is part of Tether’s strategy to use up to 15% of its quarterly profits for bitcoin acquisitions.
  • Tether’s approach allows it to diversify reserves without affecting the assets backing its stablecoin liabilities.

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