Lakers vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2025 NBA picks, Luka Doncic bets by proven model

Luka Doncic is set to face his former team for the first time when the Los Angeles Lakers host the Dallas Mavericks at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday. Dallas is 31-27 overall and 13-16 on the road, while Los Angeles is 34-21 overall and 19-7 at home this season. The Lakers have won two straight and are coming off a dominant 123-100 win over the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. The Mavs are looking to bounce back from a 126-102 loss to the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Dallas is 30-26-2, while Los Angeles is 30-25 against the spread this season. Anthony Davis (adductor) is out for Dallas, while LeBron James (foot) is probable for the Lakers. The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games, while L.A. has won and covered in two straight.

Tipoff in Los Angeles is at 10 p.m. ET. The Lakers are favored by 9 points in the latest Mavericks vs. Lakers odds from the SportsLine Consensus, up 4.5 from the opener, while the over/under is 231 points, up 3.5. Before entering any Lakers vs. Mavericks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 19 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-106 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Mavericks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

  • Mavericks vs. Lakers spread: Lakers -9
  • Mavericks vs. Lakers over/under: 231 points
  • Mavericks vs. Lakers money line: Lakers -403, Mavs +316
  • Mavericks vs. Lakers picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Mavericks vs. Lakers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Mavericks can cover

The Mavericks saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Sunday in their 126-102 loss to the Golden State Warriors. Kyrie Irving led the team with 17 points, five rebounds, and four assists. Still, there is plenty of reason for optimism surrounding Dallas heading into Tuesday’s matchup. 

The Mavs are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games, and they have one of the most dynamic backcourts in the Western Conference. Irving leads the way with per game averages of 24.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 4.7 assists. Veteran Klay Thompson is averaging 13.8 points and 3.5 rebounds per game, and Spencer Dinwiddie is averaging 10.3 points and 3.7 assists per game. See which team to pick here.

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers snapped a nine-game losing streak to one of their newly-formed Western Conference rivals, the Denver Nuggets, in their last outing. Los Angeles was dominant in the victory, beating the Nuggets 123-100 in Denver. Luka Doncic had his best game since joining the Lakers in the win, notching a double-double on 32 points and 10 rebounds. 

This game will undoubtedly be meaningful for Doncic, who spent his entire career with the Mavs before being dealt to the Lakers in one of the biggest NBA trades of all time. In four games with Los Angeles, Doncic is averaging 19.0 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 5.8 assists per game. Doncic teams with 21-time NBA All-Star LeBron James (24.7 points, 8.8 assists, 7.7 rebounds per game) to give Los Angeles one of the premier duos in the NBA.  See which team to pick here.

How to make Mavericks vs. Lakers picks

The model has simulated Mavs vs. Lakers 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the point total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that hits in over 60% of computer simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Lakers, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Lakers vs. Mavericks spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out. 

CBS Sports Staff
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