NFL betting advice: Eagles at Commanders pick and Week 16 props

Football

Steve Maltepes, known as “The Philly Godfather,” will impart his gambling wisdom on the Eagles and where the smart money is going on various pro football games each weekend this season. Maltepes is one of the nation’s hottest sports betting experts who appears weekly on national radio and has his own website, www.thephillygodfather.com [thephillygodfather.com].

Philadelphia Eagles (12-2) at Washington Commanders (9-5), 1:00 p.m. Sunday

The Line: Eagles minus-3.5/Total: 46.5

What is the line telling you:

The price in this matchup originally opened up as the Eagles being 3-point favorites, with the combined total set at 47.5. Since then, the line has bounced around at 3 up to as high as Eagles minus-4 before settling in at the current Vegas number Eagles minus-3.5. the under has dropped to 45, because some real sharp money bet the under at 47.5. it’s now down to around 45, 46. The early tickets punches are tilted heavily in the Eagles’ favor and 90-percent of the overall money wagered are on Nick Sirianni’s team. The majority of the action comes in on game day. This a big game for both teams. The Eagles need this to keep up with Detroit and Minnesota. The Commanders need this to remain in the playoff picture. The last time these teams met, Washington was up 10-6 entering the fourth quarter. Two decisions affected Washington, the first was when Dan Quinn opted to go for a fourth-down conversion instead of a field goal, and the Eagles stopped them, then drove the ball the length of the field. The other was when Jayden Daniels threw an interception to Reed Blankenship. Since then, the Eagles’ defense has comer alive. They allow an NFL-low 4.7 yards per play. On the offensive side, no team is better running the ball before contact, which is three yards, the most in the NFL.

Bottom line:

The Eagles minus-3 is definitely the play here. They should cover the number. There will be less scoring than the first game. Washington offense has faltered and take the under 46, 46.5.

Prop bets for the game

Saquon Barkley anytime touchdown, minus-150

Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown, plus-160

Saquon Barkley over 90 rushing yards, minus-130

(Betting lines are subject to change.)

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