Arca Analysts Say Altseason May Be Over as Solana, Dogecoin Now Echo Bitcoin’s Moves in Shifting Crypto Market

Bitcoins

  • Arca’s Jeff Dorman argues that the traditional concept of altseason may no longer be a consistent occurrence in each crypto market cycle.
  • CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju predicts a more selective altcoin market where only projects with ETF potential, income generation and sustainable attention will likely succeed.
  • Pantera Capital’s Cosmo Jiang suggests that ETFs have created new barriers between Bitcoin and other digital assets, potentially changing market dynamics.
  • Despite scepticism, some traders like Merlijn The Trader remain optimistic, projecting potential market cap growth to over US$9 trillion if current trends continue.

Waiting for altseason to return? Tired of seeing Bitcoin go up, but your favourite altcoin just doesn’t seem to be able to keep up?

Well, according to Arca, that little event called ‘altseason’ may not be a stable occurrence in every crypto cycle anymore.

Related: VanEck: Upcoming Solana Protocol Upgrades Aim to Enhance Network Health, Risk-Reducing Validator Earnings

Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer at Arca, reckons the all too familiar rally of lesser-known crypto tokens may be a thing of the past as major cryptos like Solana (SOL) and Dogecoin (DOGE) are more closely mimicking the move of the big one – Bitcoin.

We used the term when the digital assets industry was just getting started. Alt season happened once or twice in the past, but that doesn’t mean that it will continue to be an event.

Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer at Arca

Analysts Agree: ETF a Gamechanger for Crypto

Echoing this, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju said that while altseason might still be a thing, it would be different than it had been in the past.

In a post on social platform X, the analyst said that “the era of everything pumping is over”.

As per his analysis, the likely winners for 2025 are those altcoins with a looming ETF approval, projects that can generate income and those that are “sustainable attention drivers” – the rest “won’t make it”, Ju added.

According to a Bloomberg report, Cosmo Jiang, general partner at Pantera Capital, said that the ETFs have created a barrier between Bitcoin and other digital assets. He also said that most of crypto is still not easily accessible to traditional brokerage accounts “and the more that happens, the more it builds on itself, because these are momentum assets”.

“Altseason is Brewing”, Says Crypto Trader

Not everyone shares the negative sentiment though. For example, Bitcoin and altcoin trader Merlijn The Trader, anticipated on X that if current trends follow past patterns, the market could see a rise to over US$9 trillion (AU$14.4 trillion) in total market cap over the next year.

Related: Slam Dunk in the Crypto Court: Rumble Kong League Set to Launch FAME Token on Ronin

He said the “resistance trendline” suggests a point where rising prices have previously ceased increasing, implying that if this resistance is broken, a significant upward movement in market cap could occur.

Altseason is brewing! $Total 2 just completed a classic 3-touch support trendline pattern.

Last time? A 5X explosion from $300B → $1.5T in 2020-2021.

This time? The resistance trendline hints at $9T+ in sight over the next year! pic.twitter.com/rX1Ck1aYb8

— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) March 4, 2025

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