Bitcoin’s Steady Pursuit Of $30K: Insights & Cautionary Flags From Santiment

Santiment, the cryptocurrency analytics firm, recently tweeted about Bitcoin’s steady pursuit of reaching the $30,000 mark for the first time since early June 2022. Its latest insight report focuses on BTC’s social volume and dominance, short liquidations, dormant circulation, and other factors that could impact its future price action.

According to the report, Bitcoin has shown resilience in its recent price action, attempting to make new local all-time highs and inching closer to hitting that coveted $30,000 mark. 

The trading volume has been pretty decent, which is a positive sign for the cryptocurrency. BTC’s Social Volume and Social Dominance are at their highest levels in a year, indicating growing excitement among the crowd. 

However, as BTC prices have slowed down, there seems to be a divergence between price and volume, which typically signals exhaustion in the price action.

The report highlights BTC’s Dormant Circulation, which is approximately about five years, metric shows the number of dormant coins that started moving again. In mid-March, two spikes between 2800 – 3000 BTC, which had been dormant for five years, were activated. 

This increase in circulation could be due to the recent crypto crackdown or the CTFC vs. Binance case, making some whales jittery, according to Santiment insights.

Shorting AAVE has historically resulted in large losses, with spikes in borrowing WBTC coinciding with market lows. Current cautious borrowing of WBTC and a pattern similar to 2019 in the MVRV Long/Short difference suggests a potential peak and decline.

Despite the differences in macro conditions compared to 2019, how BTC will navigate through the chaos remains to be seen. The report cautions investors to keep an eye on these metrics and trends to stay ahead of any sudden changes in BTC’s price action.

March Sees Five Largest Bitcoin Transactions

According to a recent tweet by Santiment, the five largest Bitcoin transactions of 2023 took place in March and involved the transfer of 20,000 BTC, worth around $564 million. 

The report claimed that the surge in activity is said to result from profit-taking and fears of a market top following Bitcoin’s rebound of around 70%.

The recent influx of coins onto exchanges between March 13th to 21st, as Bitcoin’s price rose to 28k, has been followed by a reduction in supply as prices have plateaued between 27k and 29k. 

However, the total number of active sharks and whales continues to rise. While this is good news, the percentage of Bitcoin supply held by these same shark and whale addresses is concerning.

The gradual profit-taking that has taken effect since January has raised caution flags for those hoping to see Bitcoin continue to surge past $35,000. Nevertheless, as the market fluctuates, investors will watch closely how Bitcoin fares in the coming months.

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