- GBP/USD takes offers to refresh multi-day low, drops for the third consecutive day.
- Clear downside break of six-week-old trend line, bearish MACD signals favor sellers.
- Nearly oversold RSI (14) suggests limited room towards the south.
- 50-SMA holds the key to buyer’s conviction, 1.2000 threshold guards immediate upside.
GBP/USD stands on slippery grounds as it refreshes the 1.5-month low near 1.1950 during early Friday. In doing so, the Cable pair extends the previous day’s downside break of a six-week-old ascending trend line during the three-day losing streak.
Not only the break of a multi-day-old ascending trend line but the bearish MACD signals also favor the GBP/USD sellers.
However, the RSI (14) line is near the oversold territory and suggests consolidation in the Cable price before the next leg towards the south.
As a result, an upward-sloping support line from November 17, 2022, around 1.1920 by the press time, becomes an important support to watch.
Should the GBP/USD pair remains bearish past 1.1920, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the previous monthly low of 1.1841 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting that the 1.1900 threshold acts as an extra filter during the anticipated fall.
Alternatively, a convergence of the previous support line from early January and the descending trend line from Tuesday, near the 1.2000 psychological magnet, appears a short-term key hurdle to watch for the GBP/USD pair buyers during a corrective bounce.
Following that the 50-SMA level surrounding 1.2080 should lure the Cable bulls.
On a different page, most of the UK data have been downbeat so far and hence pessimistic expectations from the British Retail Sales for January, up for publishing at 07:00 GMT on Friday, seem to weigh on the quote. Even so, market consensus signals -0.3% MoM figure versus -1.0% previous readings.
GBP/USD: Four-hour chart
Trend: Limited downside expected
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Zonia Pekar